The long-term prognosis of epilepsy patients with medically treated over a period of eight years in Turkey

Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of demographic and clinical characteristics on temporal changes in seizure control and frequency in medically treated epilepsy patients to guide treatment modalities.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the association between clinical and demographic characteristics and seizure frequency in 1329 epilepsy patients who were followed up at an outpatient clinic for one to eight years, 2008-2015.

Results: Younger age at first seizure (p = 0.0465) and a long disease duration (p = 0.0406) had a negative effect on seizure control in all the epilepsy patients. Febrile convulsions (FCs) (p > 0.0001), perinatal risk (PNR) (p > 0.0002), a family history of epilepsy (FHE) (p > 0.0016), antiepileptic drug (AED) use (p > 0.001), mental retardation (MR) (p > 0.001), and psychiatric disorders (p > 0.0478) were prognostic indictors of temporal changes in seizure frequency. The presence of PNR (p = 0.0416), age at onset of epilepsy (p = 0.034), central nervous system infection (CNSI) (p = 0.04), and AEDs number (p = 0.0282) were prognostic indicators of not remaining seizure free for one year. In those with partial epilepsy, a trauma history (p = 0.05), a longer epilepsy duration (p = 0.0057), and FHE (p = 0.0466) increased the frequency of seizures, whereas cerebrovascular event (CVE) history decreased the seizure frequency (p = 0.0413). In addition, FHE (p = 0.0438) and psychotic disorders (p = 0.0416) increased generalized seizures frequency.

Conclusion: In all the epilepsy patients, a younger age at onset and longer duration of epilepsy were associated with a poor prognosis. The presence of PNR, age at onset of epilepsy, CNSI, and AEDs numbers were prognostic indicators of not remaining seizure free for one year. Increasing AEDs number was not effective in controlling seizures in partial epilepsy, but it was effective in controlling seizures in generalized epilepsy.